Researchers from the European Central Bank, European Stability Mechanism, and Universität Bonn propose a new forecasting method called parametric tilting that helps economists incorporate new ...

Structured probability systems offer lessons in discipline, risk limits, and decision-making within volatile crypto markets.

Welcome to another edition of NHL Predictions. Each day, our writers here at Last Word On Hockey look at the slate of games ...

The spatio-temporal evolution of wall-bounded turbulence is characterized by high nonlinearity, multi-scale dynamics, and chaotic nature, making its accurate prediction a significant challenge for ...

A fully automated trading bot executed 8,894 trades on short-term crypto prediction contracts and reportedly generated nearly $150,000 without human intervention. The strategy, described in a recent ...

Long-term lithium therapy remains the most effective maintenance treatment for bipolar disorder, yet it poses a significant risk of progressive renal impairment in a subset of patients. Early ...

Zachary del Rosario has received funding from the National Science Foundation and Toyota Research Institute. Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand ...

Learn how prediction markets work, compare top platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, and understand the regulatory shifts ...

From top free agents to coaches going viral to angry mascots, here’s one prediction for every team in the league. Theoretical dead periods in the NFL are often the most fun. Free from the ...

Prediction markets are the savior or end of the world, depending on who you ask, but the Fed is considering them as a research tool.

Agentic AI needs a trust infrastructure. We're a Chief Scientist and a Chief Legal Officer who discovered that the hardest ...

Everyone wants to win their March Madness pool. But it's important to remember that college basketball looks different in 2026. It makes sense to pick high-probability events in your bracket. There is ...