Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves ...

What is a recession and could the UK be heading for the financial situation in 2026, as the International Monetary Fund posts ...

EY Item Club warns the UK will 'flirt with recession' as the Iran conflict oil shock pushes unemployment to 5.8 per cent and ...

US recession warning 2026: Fears of a possible US recession are rising, with new data suggesting the economy may be closer to a downturn than it has been in years. Moody’s Analytics estimates there is ...

The International Monetary Fund cut its growth outlook on Tuesday due to Iran war-driven energy price spikes and supply ...

This is an archived article and the information in the article may be outdated. Please look at the time stamp on the story to see when it was last updated. (The Hill) — Most economists in a new survey ...

Recession fears are ramping up again, and now top economists at Moody's forecast a 49% chance that a U.S. recession will begin in the next 12 months. Analysts at Goldman Sachs are slightly more ...

It's becoming harder to ignore the risk of a recession as the Iran war causes historic disruptions in energy markets. The US economy skated through 2025 on a solid footing, but the bull case for ...

The U.S. economy managed to navigate a volatile 2025 without collapsing, but the cumulative effects of ongoing trade tensions and persistent inflation keep concerns about a 2026 recession on some ...