After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

For the first time since 2007, the short end of the yield curve inverted, and the longer-term end is not far behind. Bloomberg calls this signal a ‘harbinger of doom.’ Is that fear mongering or is it ...

The inverted yield curve is one of the more reliable recession indicators. I discussed it at length last December. At that point, we had not yet seen a full inversion. Now we have, and it appears the ...

Evercore ISI spotlighted that the last two times the yield curve between the U.S. 2 Year Treasury yield (US2Y) and the U.S. 10 Year Treasury yield (US10Y) went from being inverted to un-inverted, a ...

Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.27% this week from 4.4% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.61%, compared with 4.79% last week. As a result, the current 2-year/10-year ...

Nearly two-thirds of strategists polled by Reuters say an inverted yield curve has diminished as a reliable recession indicator. The yield curve has been inverted for 20 months without a recession ...

The inverted yield curve means that a recession is still likely, the indicator's inventor wrote this week. However, excessive labor demand, a stronger housing market, are factors that will dampen the ...

Those five words, declared by an otherwise mild-mannered college economics professor, were forever seared into my mind and have stuck with me all these years. Not only was the professor’s advice sage, ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted, meaning short-term interest rates on treasury bonds were unusually higher than long term rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. A key ...